Does Having More Women in Power Help the Climate?
A new Brazil mayor study says yes, but women still run just 12% of energy ministries
Key takeaway: Yes: a 2026 study in the Journal of Development Economics found that when women win close mayoral races in Brazil, greenhouse gas emissions in their towns drop sharply, mostly because deforestation slows down. Female-led Amazon municipalities saw a 32% steeper drop in forest loss than comparable male-led towns, with no…
By Dear Sarah · · Updated
Key takeaways
- A 2026 study by economists Inés Berniell, Mariana Marchionni, Julián Pedrazzi, and Mariana Viollaz found that female mayors in Brazil's Amazon region cut annual greenhouse gas emissions by about 1,510 thousand tons of CO2e per municipality compared with male mayors.
- The emissions drop was driven almost entirely by reduced deforestation, with forest loss coming in about 32% lower in female-led towns than in comparable male-led ones, and no measurable cost to local economic activity.
- Women worldwide hold just 12% of energy ministries and 18% of economic affairs ministries, compared with 90% of gender-equality ministries, according to the 2026 Women in Politics map from UN Women and the Inter-Parliamentary Union.
- Women have presided over only 3 of the last 17 UN desertification conferences, and three-quarters of all COP presidents over three decades have been men, according to former Irish president Mary Robinson and former Argentine foreign minister Susana Malcorra.
- Local offices like city council, county commission, and water boards are where the Brazil study's gender effect is most measurable, since those bodies control zoning, permits, and enforcement of existing environmental rules.
Climate Week wrapped up in New York a few days ago, and under all the panels and pledges was a stat that stopped me: women hold just 12% of the world's energy ministries. Not youth affairs. Not gender equality. Energy — the portfolio that decides whether a country keeps burning coal or builds out wind and solar. And a new study out of Brazil found that when women do get real power over environmental decisions, even at the local level, the numbers move. A lot.
What did the Brazil study on female mayors find?
Economists Inés Berniell, Mariana Marchionni, Julián Pedrazzi, and Mariana Viollaz looked at Brazil's mayoral elections — specifically the razor-close ones, where a woman barely beat a man or barely lost to one. That's what makes the study trustworthy: in a coin-flip race, whether a woman or a man ends up mayor is close to random, so whatever happens next in that town is really about who's in charge, not what kind of place elected her.
The difference wasn't small. In Amazon municipalities, towns that elected a woman mayor cut annual greenhouse gas emissions by roughly 1,510 thousand tons of CO2e compared with towns that elected a man, almost entirely by slowing deforestation. Forest loss came in about three percentage points lower than in similar male-led towns — a 32% reduction. And it didn't cost the towns economically; the researchers found no hit to local economic activity. The mechanism was simple: women mayors talked about the environment more during their campaigns, invested more in environmental programs once elected, and actually enforced the rules already on the books instead of letting them sit.
Why are women still locked out of the rooms where climate decisions get made?
If women in office get results like that, why aren't there more of them making these calls? Former Irish president Mary Robinson and former Argentine foreign minister Susana Malcorra laid out the pattern days ago in Climate Change News: women have presided over just three of the last seventeen UN desertification conferences, and three-quarters of every COP president in three decades has been a man. It's not that women are missing from government — the 2026 Women in Politics map from UN Women and the Inter-Parliamentary Union shows women hold 90% of gender-equality ministries and 73% of family-affairs portfolios. But energy drops to 12%. Economic affairs sits at 18%. Foreign affairs, 29%. Women get handed the ministries about people; men keep the ones that control power, often literally.
That gap is the quiet backstory behind why climate change hits women hardest — women absorb more of the damage from a warming world and hold the fewest seats where the response actually gets designed. It also shows up in something we celebrated a few months back, the ten-year low in Amazon deforestation: that progress is fragile, and it depends on exactly the kind of steady enforcement this new study found female mayors are more likely to actually deliver.
What can one woman actually do with a stat like this?
You don't have to run for mayor to put this to use. Local office is closer than it feels — city council, county commission, water board, school board — and it's exactly where the Brazil study says gender makes the most measurable difference, because those are the offices that decide zoning, permits, and whether existing environmental rules get enforced or ignored. If you've ever shrugged off a "boring" local election, this is the argument for showing up to it. It's also a reason to take a second look when a woman is running for anything from city council to state legislature with climate on her platform, instead of scrolling past.
It's the same thread running through why women leaders are saying AI needs more humanity: it's not that women lead better simply because they're women. It's that a different lived experience of risk changes what actually gets prioritized once someone has the power to act on it.
One thing to try today: look up whoever represents you at the most local level you have — city council or county commission — and spend ten minutes on your city's website checking whether they've voted on anything environmental in the past year. That's the fastest way to find out if your own backyard has a Brazil-mayor story quietly waiting to happen.
Quote to sit with
"It's the little things citizens do. That's what will make the difference. My little thing is planting trees."
Wangari Maathai said that as the first African woman to win the Nobel Peace Prize, for planting trees one at a time until it became a movement. Your ten minutes on a city council website is smaller than that, and it counts anyway.
💌 Sarah
Frequently asked questions
Do female mayors really cut greenhouse gas emissions more than male mayors?
In Brazil's Amazon region, yes. A 2026 study using close, mixed-gender mayoral races found towns that elected a woman cut annual emissions by roughly 1,510 thousand tons of CO2e more than comparable towns that elected a man, mostly by slowing deforestation. Because the study compares near-tied races, the difference is attributed to who took office rather than to the town itself.
Why are so few women energy ministers worldwide?
Women are much more likely to be appointed to portfolios seen as 'soft,' like gender equality (90%) or family affairs (73%), while men dominate portfolios tied to economic and physical power, including energy (12%), foreign affairs (29%), and economic affairs (18%), per the 2026 Women in Politics map from UN Women and the Inter-Parliamentary Union. It reflects a pattern, not a pipeline problem: qualified women exist, but they're routed toward different ministries.
Does electing more women actually change climate policy outcomes?
The Brazil mayoral study suggests yes, at least at the local level: female mayors campaigned more on environmental issues, invested more in environmental programs once elected, and enforced existing regulations more consistently. The effect showed up in real emissions and deforestation data, not just campaign promises.
What can I do if I want more women in local climate leadership?
Start by finding out who represents you at the city council, county commission, or water board level and whether they've taken any environmental votes recently. Supporting a woman running for local office, especially one whose platform touches zoning, permitting, or environmental enforcement, is where the Brazil data says the impact is most direct.
Is this study saying women are naturally better environmental leaders than men?
No, and the researchers don't argue that. The likelier explanation is that women in office tend to have different lived experience of environmental and economic risk, which shapes what they prioritize and enforce once they have power. It's about incentives and priorities, not an innate trait.
Sources
- Women Political Leaders as Agents of Environmental Change — CEDLAS / Journal of Development Economics
- Women are on deck - it's time they steered — Climate Change News
- Women in politics: 2026 — Inter-Parliamentary Union / UN Women
Keep reading
- Did Amazon Deforestation Really Drop to a 10-Year Low? — Amazon deforestation just hit its lowest point in a decade. Here's why that's real, and why the women tracking it aren't celebrating yet.
- Why Does Climate Change Hit Women Hardest? — A new UN Women scorecard just measured how climate policy treats women. Most countries are still failing the basics.
- What Is Plastic Overshoot Day 2026 and Why Does It Matter? — The world just blew through its plastic budget for the year, again. Here's what Plastic Overshoot Day actually means, plus one swap that helps.
- Can Florida's Dying Coral Reef Still Be Saved? — Fewer than 150 wild elkhorn corals are left in Florida. This August, a dozen women-led labs tried something new to change that.